2025 Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025, 7:30 PM · Nippert Stadium
Bowling Green @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreLean
Bowling Green
22.6
Cincinnati
29.3
Cincinnati win probability: 66%
Margin (Cincinnati − Bowling Green): 6.7 (80% range -14 to 27)
Total: 51.9 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Bowling Green 20 – Cincinnati 34 (margin error 7.3, total error 2.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.86% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.