2025 Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025, 4:00 PM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Central Michigan @ Bowling Green

Predicted scoreLean

Central Michigan

21.0

Bowling Green

29.2

Bowling Green win probability: 70%

Margin (Bowling Green − Central Michigan): 8.1 (80% range -12 to 28)

Total: 50.2 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Central Michigan 27 – Bowling Green 6 (margin error 29.1, total error 17.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.