2025 Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025, 6:00 PM · Rynearson Stadium
Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Bowling Green
25.1
Eastern Michigan
28.7
Eastern Michigan win probability: 59%
Margin (Eastern Michigan − Bowling Green): 3.7 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Bowling Green 21 – Eastern Michigan 27 (margin error 2.3, total error 5.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.