2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Massachusetts @ Bowling Green
Predicted scoreLikely
Massachusetts
18.6
Bowling Green
33.6
Bowling Green win probability: 82%
Margin (Bowling Green − Massachusetts): 15.1 (80% range -5 to 35)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.72% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:59 PM | 15.0 | 52.2 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:11 PM | 15.0 | 52.2 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:39 PM | 15.1 | 52.2 | 82% |