2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 11:00 PM · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Bowling Green @ Nebraska
Predicted scoreConfident
Bowling Green
13.7
Nebraska
37.3
Nebraska win probability: 93%
Margin (Nebraska − Bowling Green): 23.6 (80% range 3 to 45)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 29 to 75)
Actual: Bowling Green 7 – Nebraska 56 (margin error 25.4, total error 12.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.92% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.91% |
| 7 | 28 | 0.82% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.80% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:24 PM | 19.0 | 50.7 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:30 PM | 19.1 | 50.6 | 89% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:42 PM | 19.1 | 50.0 | 89% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:44:00 AM | 19.0 | 50.1 | 89% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:09 PM | 19.3 | 50.7 | 89% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:57:25 PM | 19.7 | 51.3 | 90% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:51:37 PM | 23.6 | 51.0 | 93% |