2026 Week 11 · Nov 10, 2026, 5:00 AM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Kent State @ Bowling Green
Predicted scoreLean
Kent State
21.4
Bowling Green
28.7
Bowling Green win probability: 68%
Margin (Bowling Green − Kent State): 7.3 (80% range -13 to 27)
Total: 50.1 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:26 PM | 7.3 | 50.1 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:26 PM | 7.2 | 50.2 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:27 PM | 7.3 | 50.1 | 68% |