2023 Week 8 · Oct 21, 2023, 6:00 PM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
Akron @ Bowling Green
Predicted scoreLikely
Akron
17.5
Bowling Green
26.8
Bowling Green win probability: 73%
Margin (Bowling Green − Akron): 9.3 (80% range -10 to 28)
Total: 44.3 (80% range 24 to 66)
Actual: Akron 14 – Bowling Green 41 (margin error 17.7, total error 10.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 10 | 21 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.