2023 Week 13 · Nov 22, 2023, 12:00 AM · Waldo Stadium
Bowling Green @ Western Michigan
Predicted scoreToss-up
Bowling Green
25.9
Western Michigan
24.5
Western Michigan win probability: 47%
Margin (Western Michigan − Bowling Green): -1.4 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Bowling Green 34 – Western Michigan 10 (margin error 22.6, total error 6.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.