2023 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2023, 11:00 PM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Ball State @ Bowling Green

Predicted scoreLikely

Ball State

19.4

Bowling Green

27.9

Bowling Green win probability: 71%

Margin (Bowling Green − Ball State): 8.5 (80% range -11 to 28)

Total: 47.3 (80% range 26 to 70)

Actual: Ball State 21 – Bowling Green 24 (margin error 5.5, total error 2.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.