2023 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2023, 12:00 AM · Dix Stadium
Bowling Green @ Kent State
Predicted scoreLikely
Bowling Green
29.4
Kent State
21.2
Kent State win probability: 30%
Margin (Kent State − Bowling Green): -8.2 (80% range -28 to 12)
Total: 50.5 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Bowling Green 49 – Kent State 19 (margin error 21.8, total error 17.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.