2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 7:30 PM · Yager Stadium
Bowling Green @ Miami (OH)
Predicted scoreToss-up
Bowling Green
20.5
Miami (OH)
21.6
Miami (OH) win probability: 53%
Margin (Miami (OH) − Bowling Green): 1.0 (80% range -18 to 20)
Total: 42.1 (80% range 22 to 64)
Actual: Bowling Green 0 – Miami (OH) 27 (margin error 26.0, total error 15.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.93% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.90% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.87% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.