2023 Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023, 7:30 PM · Bobby Dodd Stadium
Bowling Green @ Georgia Tech
Predicted scoreConfident
Bowling Green
15.8
Georgia Tech
32.2
Georgia Tech win probability: 86%
Margin (Georgia Tech − Bowling Green): 16.4 (80% range -3 to 36)
Total: 48.0 (80% range 27 to 71)
Actual: Bowling Green 38 – Georgia Tech 27 (margin error 27.4, total error 17.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 24 | 0.85% |
| 10 | 28 | 0.84% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.81% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12/2026, 9:41:07 PM | 16.4 | 48.0 | 86% |
| 8/13/2026, 3:13:27 PM | 16.4 | 48.0 | 86% |