Texas

SEC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Ole Miss	24.7–29.3	61%
Week 9	vs Mississippi State	20.7–32.0	76%
Week 10	@ Missouri	21.7–24.1	56%
Week 11	@ LSU	24.1–20.3	40%
Week 12	vs Arkansas	17.9–31.7	81%
Week 13	@ Texas A&M	22.4–23.1	52%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Texas State	7–59	19.0–37.5	33.5
Week 2	vs Ohio State	23–24	27.7–23.7	5.0
Week 3	vs UTSA	6–30	15.5–36.4	3.1
Week 4	@ Tennessee	17–20	26.5–25.4	4.1
Week 6	@ Oklahoma	27–24	18.0–23.5	8.5
Week 7	vs Florida	27–24	21.9–31.9	12.9