Predicted scoreToss-up
Texas
23.1
Texas A&M
22.4
Texas A&M win probability: 48%
Margin (Texas A&M − Texas): -0.7 (80% range -20 to 18)
Total: 45.5 (80% range 24 to 68)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:10 PM | 1.8 | 52.8 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:01 PM | 1.8 | 52.8 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:10 PM | 1.8 | 52.8 | 54% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:21 AM | 1.8 | 52.8 | 54% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:16 PM | 1.8 | 52.8 | 54% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:06:07 PM | 3.1 | 53.0 | 58% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:40 PM | 3.3 | 48.1 | 58% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:06 PM | 4.0 | 46.2 | 60% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:45 PM | 4.0 | 46.3 | 60% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:27 PM | 4.0 | 46.3 | 61% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:44 PM | 4.0 | 46.3 | 61% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:41 PM | -3.3 | 45.6 | 41% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:41 PM | -0.9 | 45.3 | 48% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:41 PM | -2.2 | 45.3 | 44% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:11 PM | -0.7 | 45.5 | 48% |