Texas
SEC
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | vs Rice | 10–37 | 11.7–42.8 | 4.1 |
| Week 2 | @ Alabama | 24–34 | 35.9–20.0 | 25.9 |
| Week 3 | vs Wyoming | 10–31 | 14.7–38.3 | 2.6 |
| Week 4 | @ Baylor | 6–38 | 27.0–32.1 | 26.8 |
| Week 5 | vs Kansas | 14–40 | 24.4–39.6 | 10.9 |
| Week 6 | vs Oklahoma | 34–30 | 28.1–29.4 | 5.2 |
| Week 8 | @ Houston | 24–31 | 23.5–37.7 | 7.1 |
| Week 9 | vs BYU | 6–35 | 18.6–35.4 | 12.2 |
| Week 10 | vs Kansas State | 30–33 | 26.0–28.3 | 0.7 |
| Week 11 | @ TCU | 26–29 | 27.4–31.8 | 1.4 |
| Week 12 | @ Iowa State | 16–26 | 22.4–29.6 | 2.7 |
| Week 13 | vs Texas Tech | 7–57 | 22.8–33.0 | 39.9 |
| Week 14 | vs Oklahoma State | 21–49 | 23.8–33.7 | 18.1 |
| Week 1 | @ Washington | 37–31 | 27.8–31.8 | 10.1 |