2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 4:00 PM · Cotton Bowl (neutral site)

Oklahoma @ Texas

Predicted scoreToss-up

Oklahoma

28.1

Texas

29.4

Texas win probability: 53%

Margin (Texas − Oklahoma): 1.2 (80% range -20 to 22)

Total: 57.5 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Oklahoma 34 – Texas 30 (margin error 5.2, total error 6.5)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.