Predicted scoreLean
Texas
32.1
Baylor
27.0
Baylor win probability: 38%
Margin (Baylor − Texas): -5.2 (80% range -27 to 16)
Total: 59.1 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: Texas 38 – Baylor 6 (margin error 26.8, total error 15.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.56% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.52% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.