Texas
SEC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ Ohio State | 14–7 | 32.8–18.0 | 7.7 |
| Week 2 | vs San José State | 7–38 | 11.7–42.1 | 0.5 |
| Week 3 | vs UTEP | 10–27 | 8.3–40.6 | 15.4 |
| Week 4 | vs Sam Houston | 0–55 | 10.1–39.7 | 25.4 |
| Week 6 | @ Florida | 29–21 | 19.4–26.2 | 14.9 |
| Week 7 | vs Oklahoma | 6–23 | 21.0–23.6 | 14.4 |
| Week 8 | @ Kentucky | 13–16 | 19.8–27.3 | 4.5 |
| Week 9 | @ Mississippi State | 38–45 | 21.0–29.8 | 1.8 |
| Week 10 | vs Vanderbilt | 31–34 | 25.1–30.1 | 2.0 |
| Week 12 | @ Georgia | 35–10 | 28.6–24.1 | 20.5 |
| Week 13 | vs Arkansas | 37–52 | 23.7–32.1 | 6.6 |
| Week 14 | vs Texas A&M | 17–27 | 24.9–26.3 | 8.6 |
| Week 1 | vs Michigan | 27–41 | 19.1–26.2 | 6.9 |