2025 Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025, 8:30 PM · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Arkansas @ Texas

Predicted scoreLean

Arkansas

23.7

Texas

32.1

Texas win probability: 70%

Margin (Texas − Arkansas): 8.4 (80% range -12 to 29)

Total: 55.8 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Arkansas 37 – Texas 52 (margin error 6.6, total error 33.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.