2025 Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025, 7:30 PM · Cotton Bowl (neutral site)

Oklahoma @ Texas

Predicted scoreToss-up

Oklahoma

21.0

Texas

23.6

Texas win probability: 57%

Margin (Texas − Oklahoma): 2.6 (80% range -17 to 21)

Total: 44.6 (80% range 24 to 67)

Actual: Oklahoma 6 – Texas 23 (margin error 14.4, total error 15.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.