2025 Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025, 8:15 PM · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

UTEP @ Texas

Predicted scoreConfident

UTEP

8.3

Texas

40.6

Texas win probability: 98%

Margin (Texas − UTEP): 32.4 (80% range 13 to 53)

Total: 48.9 (80% range 28 to 72)

Actual: UTEP 10 – Texas 27 (margin error 15.4, total error 11.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.