Predicted scoreConfident
UTEP
8.3
Texas
40.6
Texas win probability: 98%
Margin (Texas − UTEP): 32.4 (80% range 13 to 53)
Total: 48.9 (80% range 28 to 72)
Actual: UTEP 10 – Texas 27 (margin error 15.4, total error 11.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 38 | 1.29% |
| 0 | 31 | 1.21% |
| 0 | 45 | 1.17% |
| 7 | 38 | 1.07% |
| 3 | 38 | 1.04% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.