2025 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2025, 12:00 AM · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

Sam Houston @ Texas

Predicted scoreConfident

Sam Houston

10.1

Texas

39.7

Texas win probability: 98%

Margin (Texas − Sam Houston): 29.6 (80% range 10 to 49)

Total: 49.8 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Sam Houston 0 – Texas 55 (margin error 25.4, total error 5.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.