Predicted scoreConfident
Wyoming
14.7
Texas
38.3
Texas win probability: 93%
Margin (Texas − Wyoming): 23.6 (80% range 3 to 45)
Total: 53.0 (80% range 31 to 76)
Actual: Wyoming 10 – Texas 31 (margin error 2.6, total error 12.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.82% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.