2023 Postseason · Jan 2, 2024, 1:45 AM · Caesars Superdome (neutral site)

Texas @ Washington

Predicted scoreLean

Texas

31.8

Washington

27.8

Washington win probability: 40%

Margin (Washington − Texas): -4.1 (80% range -25 to 17)

Total: 59.6 (80% range 35 to 86)

Actual: Texas 31 – Washington 37 (margin error 10.1, total error 8.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.