Predicted scoreLean
Texas
31.8
TCU
27.4
TCU win probability: 40%
Margin (TCU − Texas): -4.4 (80% range -25 to 17)
Total: 59.1 (80% range 34 to 85)
Actual: Texas 29 – TCU 26 (margin error 1.4, total error 4.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.58% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.