Predicted scoreToss-up
Texas
23.6
Oklahoma
22.6
Oklahoma win probability: 47%
Margin (Oklahoma − Texas): -1.0 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 46.2 (80% range 24 to 69)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:22 PM | -1.0 | 47.2 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:29 PM | -1.0 | 47.3 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:35 PM | -1.0 | 46.2 | 47% |