Predicted scoreToss-up
Texas
26.1
LSU
22.5
LSU win probability: 41%
Margin (LSU − Texas): -3.7 (80% range -24 to 16)
Total: 48.6 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:30 PM | -3.7 | 48.4 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:36 PM | -3.6 | 48.5 | 41% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:00 PM | -3.7 | 48.6 | 41% |