Predicted scoreLikely
Florida
19.5
Texas
30.2
Texas win probability: 75%
Margin (Texas − Florida): 10.7 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 49.7 (80% range 27 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:38 PM | 10.7 | 49.7 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:38 PM | 10.7 | 49.7 | 75% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:57 PM | 10.7 | 49.7 | 75% |