Predicted scoreToss-up
Texas
25.2
Missouri
23.4
Missouri win probability: 46%
Margin (Missouri − Texas): -1.8 (80% range -21 to 18)
Total: 48.6 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:17 PM | -1.8 | 48.6 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:15 PM | -1.8 | 48.6 | 46% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:04 PM | -1.8 | 48.6 | 46% |