2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Mississippi State @ Texas
Predicted scoreLikely
Mississippi State
20.3
Texas
32.7
Texas win probability: 78%
Margin (Texas − Mississippi State): 12.4 (80% range -7 to 32)
Total: 53.1 (80% range 31 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:06 PM | 12.4 | 53.1 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:00 PM | 12.4 | 53.1 | 78% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:20 PM | 12.4 | 53.1 | 78% |