Arkansas

SEC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 9	vs Missouri	27.4–23.9	41%
Week 10	@ Auburn	29.3–22.9	34%
Week 11	vs South Carolina	28.2–27.1	47%
Week 12	@ Texas	31.7–17.9	19%
Week 13	vs LSU	30.1–20.8	28%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs North Alabama	14–31	—	—
Week 2	@ Utah	43–10	35.0–22.0	20.0
Week 3	vs Georgia	45–17	33.2–21.4	16.1
Week 4	vs Tulsa	6–34	19.1–37.2	9.9
Week 5	@ Texas A&M	34–7	32.8–21.0	15.2
Week 6	vs Tennessee	24–17	32.0–23.8	1.3
Week 7	@ Vanderbilt	21–31	28.6–25.8	12.8