Arkansas
SEC
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Arkansas State | 14–56 | 21.3–38.3 | 25.0 |
| Week 3 | @ Ole Miss | 41–35 | 31.5–22.3 | 3.2 |
| Week 4 | @ Memphis | 32–31 | 26.3–32.2 | 7.0 |
| Week 5 | vs Notre Dame | 56–13 | 31.5–26.6 | 38.1 |
| Week 7 | @ Tennessee | 34–31 | 34.8–23.8 | 8.0 |
| Week 8 | vs Texas A&M | 45–42 | 29.7–26.3 | 0.4 |
| Week 9 | vs Auburn | 33–24 | 26.7–30.9 | 13.2 |
| Week 10 | vs Mississippi State | 38–35 | 29.0–33.1 | 7.1 |
| Week 12 | @ LSU | 23–22 | 31.7–26.8 | 3.8 |
| Week 13 | @ Texas | 52–37 | 32.1–23.7 | 6.6 |
| Week 14 | vs Missouri | 31–17 | 28.9–28.7 | 13.7 |