Predicted scoreToss-up
Missouri
28.9
Arkansas
28.7
Arkansas win probability: 50%
Margin (Arkansas − Missouri): -0.3 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Missouri 31 – Arkansas 17 (margin error 13.7, total error 9.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.