Predicted scoreLean
Arkansas
26.8
LSU
31.7
LSU win probability: 62%
Margin (LSU − Arkansas): 4.8 (80% range -16 to 25)
Total: 58.5 (80% range 34 to 84)
Actual: Arkansas 22 – LSU 23 (margin error 3.8, total error 13.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.