Predicted scoreToss-up
Texas A&M
29.7
Arkansas
26.3
Arkansas win probability: 42%
Margin (Arkansas − Texas A&M): -3.4 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 56.0 (80% range 33 to 81)
Actual: Texas A&M 45 – Arkansas 42 (margin error 0.4, total error 31.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.