Arkansas
SEC
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | vs Kent State | 6–28 | 16.7–44.3 | 5.6 |
| Week 3 | vs BYU | 38–31 | 27.6–30.5 | 10.0 |
| Week 4 | @ LSU | 34–31 | 34.3–21.5 | 9.7 |
| Week 5 | vs Texas A&M | 34–22 | 28.5–26.1 | 9.6 |
| Week 6 | @ Ole Miss | 27–20 | 34.3–23.4 | 3.9 |
| Week 7 | @ Alabama | 24–21 | 32.2–17.7 | 11.4 |
| Week 8 | vs Mississippi State | 7–3 | 22.8–29.0 | 10.1 |
| Week 10 | @ Florida | 36–39 | 28.5–26.4 | 5.1 |
| Week 11 | vs Auburn | 48–10 | 22.0–24.5 | 40.5 |
| Week 12 | vs Florida International | 20–44 | 11.5–36.1 | 0.5 |
| Week 13 | vs Missouri | 48–14 | 29.5–22.5 | 27.0 |