2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 11:30 PM · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Arkansas @ Ole Miss

Predicted scoreLikely

Arkansas

23.4

Ole Miss

34.3

Ole Miss win probability: 75%

Margin (Ole Miss − Arkansas): 10.9 (80% range -10 to 31)

Total: 57.7 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Arkansas 20 – Ole Miss 27 (margin error 3.9, total error 10.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.