Predicted scoreLikely
Arkansas
21.5
LSU
34.3
LSU win probability: 78%
Margin (LSU − Arkansas): 12.7 (80% range -7 to 34)
Total: 55.8 (80% range 33 to 80)
Actual: Arkansas 31 – LSU 34 (margin error 9.7, total error 9.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 38 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.