2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 8:00 PM · Razorback Stadium
Kent State @ Arkansas
Predicted scoreConfident
Kent State
16.7
Arkansas
44.3
Arkansas win probability: 95%
Margin (Arkansas − Kent State): 27.6 (80% range 7 to 49)
Total: 61.0 (80% range 37 to 86)
Actual: Kent State 6 – Arkansas 28 (margin error 5.6, total error 27.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 38 | 0.76% |
| 10 | 45 | 0.76% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 45 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.