2023 Week 10 · Nov 4, 2023, 4:00 PM · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Arkansas @ Florida

Predicted scoreToss-up

Arkansas

26.4

Florida

28.5

Florida win probability: 55%

Margin (Florida − Arkansas): 2.1 (80% range -18 to 22)

Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Arkansas 39 – Florida 36 (margin error 5.1, total error 20.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.