Predicted scoreToss-up
Auburn
22.0
Arkansas
24.5
Arkansas win probability: 56%
Margin (Arkansas − Auburn): 2.5 (80% range -17 to 21)
Total: 46.6 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Auburn 48 – Arkansas 10 (margin error 40.5, total error 11.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 14 | 0.69% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.