Predicted scoreLikely
Georgia
33.2
Arkansas
23.1
Arkansas win probability: 26%
Margin (Arkansas − Georgia): -10.1 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 56.3 (80% range 33 to 81)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 38 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:31 PM | -10.2 | 56.2 | 26% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:36 PM | -10.0 | 56.3 | 27% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:03 PM | -10.1 | 56.3 | 26% |