2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · Razorback Stadium
South Carolina @ Arkansas
Predicted scoreToss-up
South Carolina
27.1
Arkansas
27.8
Arkansas win probability: 52%
Margin (Arkansas − South Carolina): 0.7 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:26 PM | 0.7 | 54.9 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:36 PM | 0.7 | 54.9 | 52% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:58 PM | 0.7 | 54.9 | 52% |