Predicted scoreLikely
Arkansas
21.4
Utah
36.1
Utah win probability: 82%
Margin (Utah − Arkansas): 14.7 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 57.4 (80% range 34 to 83)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 38 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:29 PM | 14.9 | 58.0 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:34 PM | 14.7 | 58.1 | 82% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:51 PM | 14.7 | 57.4 | 82% |