2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · FirstBank Stadium
Arkansas @ Vanderbilt
Predicted scoreLikely
Arkansas
27.3
Vanderbilt
36.5
Vanderbilt win probability: 71%
Margin (Vanderbilt − Arkansas): 9.3 (80% range -11 to 31)
Total: 63.8 (80% range 38 to 90)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 35 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.58% |
| 28 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:40 PM | 9.2 | 63.8 | 71% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:41 PM | 9.3 | 63.8 | 71% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:57 PM | 9.3 | 63.8 | 71% |