Predicted scoreToss-up
Arkansas
25.8
Auburn
28.8
Auburn win probability: 57%
Margin (Auburn − Arkansas): 3.0 (80% range -17 to 24)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:11 PM | 3.0 | 54.5 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:17 PM | 3.0 | 54.5 | 57% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:59 PM | 3.0 | 54.5 | 57% |