Predicted scoreToss-up
LSU
27.3
Arkansas
27.4
Arkansas win probability: 50%
Margin (Arkansas − LSU): 0.1 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 54.8 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:58 PM | 0.1 | 54.8 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:05 PM | 0.1 | 54.8 | 50% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:25 PM | 0.1 | 54.8 | 50% |