Sam's Scores

2026 Week 5 · Oct 3, 2026, 4:00 AM · Kyle Field

Arkansas @ Texas A&M

Predicted scoreLikely
Arkansas
24.9
Texas A&M
34.3
Texas A&M win probability: 72%
Margin (Texas A&MArkansas): 9.4 (80% range -11 to 31)
Total: 59.1 (80% range 35 to 85)
Most likely scorelines
AwayHomeProbability
24310.73%
17310.60%
24380.60%
21240.59%
17240.58%
Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.

Home score →Away score →
Prediction movement through the week
GeneratedPred. marginPred. totalHome win prob
8/13/2026, 8:55:10 PM9.459.172%
9/3/2026, 1:05:13 PM9.459.172%
9/3/2026, 2:28:33 PM9.459.172%