Predicted scoreToss-up
Missouri
27.3
Arkansas
27.8
Arkansas win probability: 51%
Margin (Arkansas − Missouri): 0.6 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:56 PM | 0.6 | 55.1 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:01 PM | 0.6 | 55.1 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:22 PM | 0.6 | 55.1 | 51% |