Mississippi State

SEC

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs Oklahoma	26.7–24.6	45%
Week 9	@ Texas	32.0–20.7	24%
Week 10	vs Vanderbilt	24.6–30.9	65%
Week 11	vs Auburn	26.2–27.9	54%
Week 13	@ Ole Miss	36.4–26.0	26%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs UL Monroe	13–62	14.7–37.9	25.8
Week 2	@ Minnesota	13–38	24.4–26.8	22.6
Week 3	@ South Carolina	34–41	29.8–24.6	12.2
Week 4	vs Missouri	24–31	27.7–25.1	9.6
Week 5	vs Alabama	56–23	33.2–24.5	24.3
Week 7	@ LSU	31–0	29.9–21.9	23.0